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June 19, 2008

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Patrick Eitenbichler

Chuck, I'm glad you enjoy being a storage-only vendor. The customers I talk to are looking for a trusted partner who can help them deliver predictable SLAs to their endusers vs. just a storage company.

Re: SSDs, I'd like to propose having lunch with you 2 years from now. If you ship more storage capacity in SSDs vs. FC disk by then, I'll pay. Otherwise, you'll pay -- and I get to pick the place :-).

See http://www.blackyard.net/?p=908: "Dave Donatelli, a senior exec at EMC, predicted that high-end flash drives will replace high-end hard drives in 2 years."

Let me clarify what I told SearchStorage: SSDs will be a viable technology for I/O intensive applications -- which is why we'll offer SSDs in our servers and StorageWorks XP arrays later this year. However, HP isn't willing to put customers' data at risk. We want to at least be able to source SSD hardware from two manufacturers to ensure uninterrupted supplies.

In terms of your predictions in the past, I wouldn't push that topic... The huge investments you made in network-based virtualization with Invista went nowhere while HP's external virtualization with our XP arrays is a winner, and the virtualization in our EVAs let's customers manage an EVA in 1/5 the time it takes to manage a CX (see http://h20338.www2.hp.com/ERC/downloads/4AA1-6634ENW.pdf). And -- HP has offered Thin Provisioning in our XP arrays for over a year -- a feature that can also be used with all arrays virtualized behind the XP -- while you just recently (and quietly) started shipping Thin Provisioning. I could go on..............

And... talking about deduplication... HP is the only vendor who listened to customer feedback that one size does not fit all. We offer "accelerated deduplication" in our Virtual Library Systems delivering the performance and scalability needed in datacenters, and leverage HP Labs technology for "dynamic deduplication" in our D2D Backup Systems for smaller environments at half the cost of competitive offerings. See http://h71028.www7.hp.com/services/library/GetPage.aspx?pageid=583627&statusid=0&audienceid=0&ccid=14&langid=121 .

Looking forward to our lunch in 2010!

Chuck Hollis

I wouldn't take that bet because I think it misses the point.

It's not about capacity. Tapes of all types have more capacity than disks today; paper has more capacity than tapes, and so on.

That doesn't make paper a more interesting storage media than tape, does it?

The real question? Revenue -- what do people spend their money on?

2 years? Dave D's comment about high-end, high performance FC drives looks about right, if not sooner.

Too soon for enterprise flash to dominate in all categories of disk, but we'll notice the effect by then. And, like tape, it'll never really go away.

Not to share a trade secret here, but many of us believe that --- in a few years -- there'll be two types of storage of interest: enterprise flash, and multi-terabyte drives that are deduplicated and perhaps spun down.

In my mind, it's about 3.5 years for the "crossover point" where there's a healthy debate on new storage purchases (flash vs. disk, much the way disk and tape are debated today), and perhaps a revenue crossover 4-5 years from now.

Want to take that bet?

And I think the smartest thing HP does is source a majority of their storage technology from vendors that "get" storage.

If you'd like to go a few rounds of tit-for-tat on product investments and subsequent results, I'll do that, but I won't think it'll be helpful for your case here.

It's funny -- when vendors get caught flat-footed on an important technological shift, there are three strategies: say it doesn't matter, say it doesn't work, or say we'll have it soon anyway.

You get the prize for saying all three in the same article!

Bottom line? I think the industry and customers don't see HP as a major thought leader in the storage biz -- servers (and printers) are far more important at HP.

Barry Whyte

I tend to agree that the high end 15K RPM drive space is likely to be the first to be impacted over the next few years with flash, and that large capacity HDD will remain.

However, trying to compare PCI based flash, or a few local SSDs in a server to our old direct attached (pre SAN) world is not the same argument at all. Is it not true that most enterprise servers still have local HDD for boot etc. There are many reasons to keep some local - especially low latency - storage *in addition* to SAN based tiers. To me, your argument is an attempt to spin some FUD mainly due to the fact that you don't sell any servers to plug anything into. Just my 2c.

Chuck Hollis

You have a valid point ... many servers have a boot device (whether disk or eventually flash), and some boot directly from SAN or NAS ... and, in that vein -- sure, we'll see flash in servers. Heck, I'll want one for my PC ...

But every announcement I've seen so far from HP, IBM and Sun has been along the lines of enterprise flash for "I/O acceleration" which -- if we're talking writes -- makes it a stateful storage device.

And then I'd be back to my original argument.

Gavin McLaughlin

Chuck, I think you've missed the point again on Sun's Open Storage strategy.

Yes, there's the option for the "DIY Model" as you call it, however Sun are also providing solution stacks with integrated support from a single vendor.

What our customers (and yours incidentally) are telling us is that they want balance between cost, growth and risk but WITHOUT vendor lock in or proprietary systems, something that happened in the server world 7 or 8 years ago.

Customers can and will get the best of both worlds through Open Storage, it's not something that should be belittled as "DIY".

Oh by the way, I think 20+ years in storage (8 of which were at EMC) qualifies me a little to talk on the subject ;-)

Chuck Hollis

Sorry if I made you defensive regarding your qualifications, Gavin.

Given your experience, you know there's a difference between "support is available" and "support required by enterprise customers is available".

And, unless Sun is keeping a secret, none of us have been able to find hard evidence of the latter for this particular offering, in the same vein as, say your HDS arrays that you resell.

On a personal note, I've lost my enthusiasm for pendantic discussions around "open", "closed", et. al.

I think they've become empty marketing words that struggling vendors toss around when things aren't going so well.

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Chuck Hollis


  • Chuck Hollis
    VP -- Global Marketing CTO
    EMC Corporation

    Chuck has been with EMC for 13 years, most of them pretty good.

    He enjoys speaking to customer and industry audiences about a variety of technology topics, and -- of course -- enjoys blogging.

    He lives in Holliston, MA with his wife, three kids and three dogs when he's not travelling. Chuck enjoys piano, mountain biking, boating and skiing -- in that order.

    Warning: do not buy him a drink when there is a piano nearby.

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